{"id":23915,"date":"2018-01-23T18:51:45","date_gmt":"2018-01-23T17:51:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/shekulliagency.com\/?p=23915"},"modified":"2018-01-23T19:04:28","modified_gmt":"2018-01-23T18:04:28","slug":"sulmi-i-ushtrise-se-turqise-ne-sirine-veriore","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/?p=23915","title":{"rendered":"Sulmi i ushtris\u00eb s\u00eb Turqis\u00eb n\u00eb Sirin\u00eb veriore"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Screenshot_2017-12-24-14-21-02-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-23313\" src=\"http:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Screenshot_2017-12-24-14-21-02-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"720\" height=\"429\" srcset=\"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Screenshot_2017-12-24-14-21-02-1.png 720w, https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/Screenshot_2017-12-24-14-21-02-1-300x179.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Nga Frymzim Dauti<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Pas d\u00ebshtimit t\u00eb grushtit ushtarak n\u00eb Turqi, sulmi i dyt\u00eb i ushtris\u00eb s\u00eb Turqis\u00eb n\u00eb territor t\u00eb Siris\u00eb veriore k\u00ebsaj radhe kryhet kund\u00ebr PYD. Organizata politiko-ushtarake PYD, simotra e PKK, u shnd\u00ebrua n\u00eb faktor ushtarak dhe politik n\u00eb zon\u00ebn kufitare me Turqin\u00eb me mb\u00ebshtetje t\u00eb drejtperdrejt t\u00eb Izraelit. Dikush do t\u00eb thoshte se PYD u shnd\u00ebrua n\u00eb faktor me ndihm\u00ebn e ShBA-s\u00eb dhe jo t\u00eb Izraelit. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb pjes\u00ebrisht e v\u00ebrtet, mir\u00ebpo, p\u00ebr ata q\u00eb e mbrojn\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb teori, do ti&#8217;u p\u00ebrkutoj\u00eb fjal\u00ebn e urt\u00eb q\u00eb thot\u00eb: p\u00ebrdore mash\u00ebn p\u00ebr mos i djegur duart. Pra, Izraeli, vet\u00ebm q\u00eb shfrytzon ShBA-n\u00eb si mash\u00eb n\u00eb luft\u00ebn e Siris\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Siria, si ish vilajet osman, ishte dhe mbetet pretendim kryesor i okupimit territorial t\u00eb cionist\u00ebve. Siq dihet, cionist\u00ebt arrit\u00ebn q\u00eb t\u00eb okuponin gradualisht sanxhakun e Palestin\u00ebs, q\u00eb ishte pjes\u00eb e vilajetit t\u00eb Siris\u00eb. Mir\u00ebpo, okupimi i Palestin\u00ebs nuk ngop\u00eb apetitin cionist p\u00ebr okupim t\u00eb teritoreve. Cionist\u00ebt, Palestin\u00ebn e okupuan me ndihm\u00ebn e Anglis\u00eb p\u00ebrderisa pjes\u00eb t\u00eb Siris\u00eb dhe Irakut pretendojn\u00eb t\u00eb okupojn\u00eb me ndihm\u00ebn e ShBA. Para se t\u00eb okupohen ato territore, s\u00eb pari duhet q\u00eb popullata muslimane e atyre teritoreve n\u00eb Siri dhe Irak t\u00eb vritet apo t\u00eb d\u00ebbohet. N\u00eb k\u00ebta 15 vite n\u00eb Irak u vran\u00eb 1 milion p\u00ebrderisa n\u00eb Siri gjys\u00ebm milioni njer\u00ebz. Gjenocid ky q\u00eb u krye nga ShBA p\u00ebr t\u00eb realizuar planin strategjik t\u00eb Izraelit p\u00ebr dominim ushtarak dhe ekonomik t\u00eb Lindjes s\u00eb Mesme.<\/p>\n<p>Se si ndodh\u00ebn vrasjet n\u00eb k\u00ebta 15 vite t\u00eb fundit t\u00eb miliona musliman\u00ebve nuk mund t\u00eb shpjegojm\u00eb n\u00eb pak reshta. Por vlen q\u00eb t&#8217;i p\u00ebrmendim edhe &#8220;meritat&#8221; e disa shteteve Evropiane n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb gjenocid q\u00eb filloi pas sulmit terorist n\u00eb Paris. P\u00ebr sulmin terorist n\u00eb Paris t\u00eb para disa viteve, e ku u vran\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se qindra civil, thuajse askush nuk flet sot. Vlen t\u00eb kujtojm se n\u00eb mediat globale t\u00eb cifut\u00ebve dhe t\u00eb satelit\u00ebve t\u00eb tyre, menj\u00ebher\u00eb pas kryerjes s\u00eb sulmit n\u00eb fjal\u00eb, u shfaq nj\u00eb pasaport siriane, me cka pretendohej se terorist\u00ebt ishin shtetas sirian. Nuk vonoi reagimi politik pas k\u00ebtij sulmi. Parlamenti francez morri vendimin p\u00ebr sulm ajror t\u00eb Siris\u00eb. Nuk vonuan edhe shtetet tjera si Gjermania dhe Britania e Madhe, t\u00eb cilat, arsyetimin e sulmit n\u00eb Siri e bazuan n\u00eb ndihm\u00ebn q\u00eb ishin t\u00eb obliguar q\u00eb ti\u2019a ofronin Franc\u00ebs. Fakti q\u00eb terorist\u00ebt q\u00eb kryen aktin n\u00eb Paris ishin shtetas t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs sot ska aspak r\u00ebnd\u00ebsi pasi q\u00eb aeroplan\u00ebt ushtarak t\u00eb atyre shteteve sot e k\u00ebsaj dite bombardojn\u00eb Sirin\u00eb. Masakr\u00ebn e fundit n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet bombardimeve ajrore ata e kryen n\u00eb qytetin Rakka. Gjenerali rus bombardimin disa mujor t\u00eb Rak\u00ebs nga aeroplan\u00ebt ushtarak t\u00eb perendimit e krahasoi me sulmin e Dresdenit gjat\u00eb LDB. Rakka q\u00eb populohej nga qindramij\u00ebra bonor\u00eb sot \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb r\u00ebnoj q\u00eb kontrolohet nga krahu ushtarak i PYD.<\/p>\n<p>P\u00ebrderisa p\u00ebrkrahja e PYD nga perendimi sot kryhet n\u00eb form\u00eb t\u00eb hapur, p\u00ebrkrahja e DAESh u krye n\u00eb form\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb sotistifikuar. DAESh vet\u00ebm q\u00eb u shfryt\u00ebzua nga perendimi si pretekst i intervenimit n\u00eb Siri, n\u00eb t\u00eb ashtuquajtur\u00ebn luft\u00eb kund\u00ebr &#8220;terorrizmit&#8221; islam. Sot, territoret q\u00eb kontrolloheshin nga DAESh, n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet intervenimit t\u00eb perendimit gradualisht kaluan n\u00eb duart e PYD. Prandaj dhe PYD s\u00eb bashku me agjent\u00ebt e sh\u00ebrbimeve sekrete t\u00eb perendimit dhe t\u00eb Izraelit, t\u00eb inflirtuar n\u00eb krahun ushtarak t\u00eb PYD, sot kontrollojn\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb rrjedh\u00ebn e lumit Eufrat, e q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb burim i jet\u00ebs s\u00eb Siris\u00eb. Ata poashtu kontrollojn\u00eb hidrocentralet dhe mbi 70% t\u00eb burimeve t\u00eb gazit dhe naft\u00ebs s\u00eb Siris\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Teritori q\u00eb sot PYD-PKK kontrolon shtrihet thuajse n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb vij\u00ebn kufitare t\u00eb Turqis\u00eb me Sirin dhe Irakun. N\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet k\u00ebtij koridori, Turqis\u00eb i shk\u00ebputen rrug\u00ebt tok\u00ebsore tregtare me shtetet arabe dhe poashtu pozita strategjike e Turqis\u00eb p\u00ebr kalimin e gaz\u00ebsjell\u00ebsve dhe naft\u00ebsjell\u00ebsve e humb\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsin\u00eb. Koridori n\u00eb fjal\u00eb, n\u00eb mediat nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare cifute quhet koridori kurd edhe pse shumica e banor\u00ebve n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb territor para luft\u00ebs ishin arab dhe turkmen. Nga zyrtar\u00ebt e Turqis\u00eb ky koridor quhet koridori i terorist\u00ebve, p\u00ebrderisa un\u00eb e quaj ate \u201ckoridori i Izraelit\u201d. Izraeli me krijimin e koridorit t\u00eb vet n\u00eb territor t\u00eb Siris\u00eb do t\u00eb ket\u00eb n\u00eb dispozicion pjes\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb resurseve t\u00eb naft\u00ebs dhe gazit n\u00eb Irak dhe Siri. Izraeli nuk do t\u00eb rrezikoj m\u00eb q\u00eb t\u00eb blej\u00eb naft\u00ebn n\u00eb berz\u00ebn e zez\u00eb e q\u00eb transportohet nga naft\u00ebsjell\u00ebsi q\u00eb kalon\u00eb n\u00eb Detin Mesdhe n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet territorit t\u00eb Turqis\u00eb. P\u00ebr ata q\u00eb nuk e din, vlen t\u00eb p\u00ebrmendim q\u00eb mbi 90% t\u00eb naft\u00ebs Izraeli e &#8220;blen&#8221; nga Kurdistani. Pasi q\u00eb Kurdistani (Iraku Verior) naft\u00ebn e shet pa lejen e Bagdatit, ajo naft\u00eb mund t\u00eb shitet vet\u00ebm ilegalisht. Sot n\u00eb bot\u00eb egziston vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb shtet q\u00eb mund ta blej ilegalisht ate naft\u00eb pasi q\u00eb nuk ka kush e sanksionon ashtu sikur q\u00eb mund t\u00eb prodhoj\u00eb bomba nukleare pasi q\u00eb nuk ka kush e inspekton. Ai shtet \u00ebsht\u00eb Izraeli. Mir\u00ebpo, Turqia e ndaloi kalimin e naft\u00ebs s\u00eb Kurdistanit n\u00eb tregun e zez\u00eb pas referendumit p\u00ebr pavar\u00ebsi t\u00eb Kurdistanit. Gjat\u00eb referendumit n\u00eb fjal\u00eb shum\u00eb veta atje festonin hapur n\u00eb rrug\u00eb me flamuj t\u00eb Izraelit. Ata festonin pasi q\u00eb minsitri i jasht\u00ebm i Izraelit deklaroi q\u00eb shteti i par\u00eb q\u00eb do t\u00eb njoh pavar\u00ebsin\u00eb e Kurdistanit do t\u00eb jet\u00eb Izraeli. Mir\u00ebpo hesapi i sht\u00ebpis\u00eb nuk doli n\u00eb pazar, prandaj dhe kjo situat\u00eb e re e krijuar pas d\u00ebshtimit t\u00eb referendumit n\u00eb fjal\u00eb kuptohet q\u00eb e shqet\u00ebson Izraelin, dhe se ata p\u00ebrpiqen q\u00eb t\u00eb gjejn\u00eb alternativa tjera. P\u00ebr momentin, realizimi i koridorit q\u00eb bashkon Kurdistanin me Detin Mesdhe \u00ebsht\u00eb alternativa e tyre m\u00eb e preferuar. Pra, plani strategjik i Izraelit p\u00ebr izolimin ekonomik t\u00eb Turqis\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb proces t\u00eb realizimit.<\/p>\n<p>Shtypja diplomatike kund\u00ebr Turqis\u00eb nga perendimi filloi menj\u00ebhr\u00eb pasi q\u00eb filloi operacioni i ushtris\u00eb s\u00eb Turqis\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb t\u00eb Siris\u00eb. Franca nuk vonoi dhe thirri mbledhje urgjente t\u00eb K\u00ebshillit t\u00eb Sigurimit n\u00eb OKB p\u00ebr situat\u00ebn n\u00eb Siri; edhe pse at\u00eb mbledhje mund ta thirrte Britania e Madhe apo ShBA. Thirrja e mbledhjes n\u00eb OKB nga Franca ka simbolik\u00ebn e vet\u00eb. Presidenti i ri i Franc\u00ebs \u00ebsht\u00eb ish bankier i familjes cifute Rotschild dhe se ai arriti t\u00eb zgjidhej president n\u00eb mosh\u00eb t\u00eb re pa mb\u00ebshtetjen e ndonj\u00eb partie politike. Ai \u00ebsht\u00eb i vet\u00ebdish\u00ebm q\u00eb n\u00eb at\u00eb pozit\u00eb q\u00ebndron fal\u00eb kapitalit cifut dhe mediave t\u00eb tyre. Vet\u00eb kryeministri i Franc\u00ebs e quajti presidentin e Franc\u00ebs: djal i Rotschild. P\u00ebr ata q\u00eb nuk e din r\u00ebnd\u00ebsin e kapitalit t\u00eb familjes Rotschild n\u00eb formimin e Izraelit, t&#8217;i p\u00ebrkujtoj\u00eb se, Deklarata e Balfour, para 100 viteve, p\u00ebr formimin e Izraelit nga Anglia, iu drejtua pik\u00ebrisht Rotschildit i cili ishte p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsues i cionist\u00ebve. Prandaj dhe presidenti i Franc\u00ebs sot \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsuesi indirekt i interesave t\u00eb cionist\u00ebve n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme. Presidenti i Franc\u00ebs e vet\u00ebm q\u00eb e shfryt\u00ebzoj rastin n\u00eb fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb d\u00ebshmuar falemendirimin e tij p\u00ebr kontributin e tyre.<\/p>\n<p>Realizmi i \u201ckoridorit t\u00eb Izraelit\u201d pjes\u00ebrisht d\u00ebshtoi pas d\u00ebshtimit t\u00eb grushtit ushtarak q\u00eb u nd\u00ebrmor n\u00eb Turqi. Si rezultat i tentativ\u00ebs p\u00ebr grusht ushtarak qeveria e Turqis\u00eb arriti q\u00eb ta marr\u00eb n\u00ebn kontroll civil ushtrin\u00eb turke dhe si pasoj i p\u00ebrjashtoi apo arestoi mbi 50% t\u00eb gjeneral\u00ebve. Menj\u00ebher\u00eb pas grushtit ushtarak qeveria e Turqis\u00eb morri vendim p\u00ebr nd\u00ebrhyrje ushtarake n\u00eb territor t\u00eb Siris\u00eb q\u00eb t\u00eb nd\u00ebrpres\u00eb avancimin e PYD n\u00eb drejtim t\u00eb Detit Mesdhe. Vlen t\u00eb theksohet se intervenimi ushtarak, me urdh\u00ebr t\u00eb qeveris\u00eb s\u00eb Turqis\u00eb, u mund\u00ebsua pas ndryshimit t\u00eb mekanizmave t\u00eb vendimarrjes p\u00ebr nd\u00ebrhyrje ushtarake p\u00ebr mbrojtjen e interesave strategjike. Qeveria e Turqis\u00eb nuk kishte komp\u00ebtenca kushtetuese para grushtit ushtarak q\u00eb t\u00eb inicionte nj\u00eb operacion t\u00eb till\u00eb pasi q\u00eb ushtarak\u00ebt kontrollonin shumic\u00ebn e K\u00ebshillit t\u00eb Sigurimit t\u00eb Tuqis\u00eb. Si rezulltat i mosveprimit t\u00eb gjeneral\u00ebve situata u komplikua shum\u00eb n\u00eb zon\u00ebn kufitare t\u00eb Turqis\u00eb me Sirin\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Operacioni ushtarak nga ana e Turqis\u00eb n\u00eb Siri, menj\u00ebher\u00eb pas tentativ\u00ebs p\u00ebr grusht ushtarak, e nd\u00ebrpreu avancimin e m\u00ebtutjesh\u00ebm t\u00eb PYD. Mir\u00ebpo n\u00eb t\u00eb njejt\u00ebn koh\u00eb ai intervenim ushtarak ishte d\u00ebshtim p\u00ebrshkak t\u00eb avancimit t\u00eb ngadalsh\u00ebm t\u00eb ushtris\u00eb turke n\u00eb territor t\u00eb Siris\u00eb. Kjo ishte si rezultat i pasajove nga grushti ushtarak dhe dyshimeve q\u00eb ende egzistonin n\u00eb mes 2 turq. Mir\u00ebpo sot ushtria e Turqis\u00eb ka dalur nga trauma q\u00eb gjindej para nj\u00eb viti dhe se ajo hyn n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb betej\u00eb t\u00eb re me moralin e duhur dhe mb\u00ebshteje politike stabile.<\/p>\n<p>Vendimi i dyt\u00eb i qeveris\u00eb s\u00eb Turqis\u00eb p\u00ebr nd\u00ebrhyrje ushtarake n\u00eb Sirin veriore n\u00ebnkupton nd\u00ebrmarjen e disa rreziqeve. Rreziku nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb ushtarak pasi pamvarsisht q\u00eb PYD armatoset nga perendimi, forca e tyre ushtarake \u00ebsht\u00eb e pakrahasueshme me ushtrin moderne t\u00eb Turqis\u00eb dhe ahlakun islam t\u00eb ushtar\u00ebve t\u00eb saj (turq, kurd, shqiptar\u00eb, arab etj.).<\/p>\n<p>Qeveria e Turqis\u00eb me nd\u00ebrmarrjen e k\u00ebtij intervenimi poashtu nuk rrezikon destabilizim n\u00eb Turqi. Kjo pasi q\u00eb qeveria e Turqisw para se nd\u00ebrhyri n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb betej\u00eb u p\u00ebrkrah edhe nga partia nacionaliste turke MHP, me cka siguroi mb\u00ebshtetjen edhe t\u00eb nj\u00eb pjese t\u00eb opozit\u00ebs politike t\u00eb Turqis\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Rreziku kryesor i Turqis\u00eb vjen nga diplomacia perendimore. Ata do t&#8217;i shfryt\u00ebzojn\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha mekanzimat p\u00ebr t\u00eb pamund\u00ebsuar Turqin\u00eb q\u00eb t\u2019ia prish planet Izraelit. Ata mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqen q\u00eb t\u00eb ngrejn\u00eb padi penale p\u00ebr udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsit politik t\u00eb Turqis\u00eb p\u00ebr &#8220;krime&#8221; kund\u00ebr civil\u00ebve n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet prokuror\u00ebve perendimor n\u00eb gjykatat nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare. Do t\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqen t\u00eb imponojn\u00eb embargo p\u00ebr armatim t\u00eb Turqis\u00eb. Do t\u00eb angazhohen t\u00eb bllokojn eksportin e mallrave t\u00eb Turqis\u00eb apo p\u00ebr sanksione ekonomike. N\u00ebpermjet mediumeve t\u00eb tyre do t\u00eb b\u00ebjn\u00eb thirrje q\u00eb turist\u00ebt mos e vizitojn\u00eb Turqin\u00eb. Mir\u00ebpo edhe k\u00ebt\u00eb betej\u00eb diplomatike dhe propagandistike ka gjasa reale q\u00eb ta fitoj Turqia. Kuptohet q\u00eb k\u00ebta rreziqe jan\u00eb reale mir\u00ebpo rreziku p\u00ebr mosveprim ushtarak \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb i d\u00ebmsh\u00ebm p\u00ebr Turqin\u00eb. Nga dy rreziqet, Turqia vendosi p\u00ebr rrezikun m\u00eb t\u00eb vog\u00ebl.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nga Frymzim Dauti Pas d\u00ebshtimit t\u00eb grushtit ushtarak n\u00eb Turqi, sulmi i dyt\u00eb i ushtris\u00eb s\u00eb Turqis\u00eb n\u00eb territor t\u00eb Siris\u00eb veriore k\u00ebsaj radhe kryhet kund\u00ebr PYD. Organizata politiko-ushtarake PYD,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":23313,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23915","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinionanaliza"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23915"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=23915"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23915\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23917,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23915\/revisions\/23917"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/23313"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=23915"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=23915"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=23915"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}