{"id":39286,"date":"2022-11-21T16:17:34","date_gmt":"2022-11-21T15:17:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/shekulliagency.com\/?p=39286"},"modified":"2022-11-21T16:17:35","modified_gmt":"2022-11-21T15:17:35","slug":"strategjia-e-re-aziatike-e-gjermanise-ringjallja-e-ambicieve-per-lidership-ne-evrope","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/?p=39286","title":{"rendered":"Strategjia e re aziatike e Gjermanis\u00eb, ringjallja e ambicieve p\u00ebr lidership n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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Nga Yunus Mazi<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Autori i shkrimit \u00ebsht\u00eb kandidat i Ph.D-s\u00eb n\u00eb Universitetin e Teknologjis\u00eb Chemnitz, Instituti i Shkencave Politike<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb udh\u00ebtimin e tij kat\u00ebr-ditor n\u00eb Azi, kancelari gjerman Olaf Scholz (SPD) d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb ringjall\u00eb ambiciet e lidershipit t\u00eb Gjermanis\u00eb n\u00eb aren\u00ebn nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare. S\u00eb bashku me ministrin gjerman t\u00eb Ekonomis\u00eb, Robert Habeck (T\u00eb Gjelbrit), kancelari gjerman d\u00ebshiron t’i hap\u00eb rrug\u00ebn nj\u00eb strategjie t\u00eb re t\u00eb politik\u00ebs s\u00eb jashtme drejt Azis\u00eb, shkruan (AA).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Me thellimin e marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnieve me shtetet e ASEAN-it, Gjermania ndjek parimin e “realpolitik\u00ebs”. Sa i p\u00ebrket vizit\u00ebs s\u00eb politikan\u00ebve gjerman\u00eb n\u00eb Vietnam, Singapor dhe Indonezi (p\u00ebr samitin e G-20) mund t\u00eb shihet nj\u00eb ndryshim afatgjat\u00eb n\u00eb strategjin\u00eb e politik\u00ebs s\u00eb jashtme t\u00eb Gjermanis\u00eb ndaj Azis\u00eb Juglindore, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht ndaj Kin\u00ebs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gjermania po formulon politik\u00eb t\u00eb re ndaj Kin\u00ebs. Kjo strategji e politik\u00ebs s\u00eb jashtme p\u00ebrfshin thellimin e marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnieve me shtetet e ASEAN-it. K\u00ebsaj radhe Gjermania d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb veproj\u00eb n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb preventive. Aktualisht, Gjermania \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb e varur nga Kina p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb politik\u00ebs s\u00eb saj tregtare. Pa dyshim, politika e saj tregtare (volumi tregtar 246,5 miliard\u00eb euro n\u00eb 2021) me Kin\u00ebn \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb fitimprur\u00ebse p\u00ebr Gjermanin\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Megjithat\u00eb, Gjermania d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb shmang\u00eb nj\u00eb kriz\u00eb tjet\u00ebr t\u00eb mundshme si lufta Rusi-Ukrain\u00eb. Var\u00ebsia e nj\u00ebanshme tek nj\u00eb lojtar global me t\u00eb cil\u00ebn marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet k\u00ebrc\u00ebnohen t\u00eb rr\u00ebnohen n\u00eb \u00e7do moment \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb rrezik i lart\u00eb, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht p\u00ebr ekonomin\u00eb gjermane. Prandaj, udh\u00ebtimi i kancelarit Scholz n\u00eb Azi \u00ebsht\u00eb vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb rezultat logjik p\u00ebr t\u00eb shmangur nj\u00eb kriz\u00eb tjet\u00ebr shkat\u00ebrruese n\u00eb politik\u00ebn e jashtme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Diversifikimi i partner\u00ebve tregtar\u00eb<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lufta Rusi-Ukrain\u00eb shkaktoi pasoja shkat\u00ebrruese jo vet\u00ebm p\u00ebr Gjermanin\u00eb, por p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjith\u00eb Evrop\u00ebn. P\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb efekteve negative n\u00eb sektorin ekonomik dhe at\u00eb t\u00eb energjis\u00eb, Evropa p\u00ebrballet me nj\u00eb nga krizat e saj m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha n\u00eb t\u00eb kaluar\u00ebn e af\u00ebrt. P\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb var\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb saj nga Rusia, Evropa ishte n\u00eb k\u00ebmb\u00eb qelqi p\u00ebr nj\u00eb koh\u00eb t\u00eb gjat\u00eb. Megjithat\u00eb, politika e jashtme e “realpolitik\u00ebs” e ish-kancelarit Gerhard Schroder (SPD) dhe pasueses s\u00eb tij Angela Merkel (CDU) p\u00ebrball\u00eb Rusis\u00eb nuk shkaktoi shqet\u00ebsime se marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet midis Rusis\u00eb dhe Evrop\u00ebs do t\u00eb arrinin n\u00eb nj\u00eb kriz\u00eb t\u00eb till\u00eb si tani.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00eb dy kancelar\u00ebt arrit\u00ebn t\u00eb ruanin nj\u00eb ekuilib\u00ebr midis politik\u00ebs s\u00eb jashtme transatlantike, evropiane dhe ruse gjat\u00eb periudhave t\u00eb tyre p\u00ebrkat\u00ebse p\u00ebrmes kualiteteve t\u00eb tyre t\u00eb shk\u00eblqyera drejtuese. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Qeveria aktuale e koalicionit gjerman e udh\u00ebhequr nga Scholz veproi shum\u00eb shpejt n\u00eb vendosjen e sanksioneve kund\u00ebr Rusis\u00eb. Pasojat q\u00eb do t\u00eb shfaqeshin n\u00eb sektorin ekonomik dhe at\u00eb t\u00eb energjis\u00eb nuk u menduan mjaft mir\u00eb. P\u00ebr t\u00eb kompensuar pasojat e reagimit t\u00eb tyre t\u00eb menj\u00ebhersh\u00ebm ndaj luft\u00ebs Rusi-Ukrain\u00eb, Scholz dhe Habeck udh\u00ebtuan n\u00eb Azin\u00eb Juglindore p\u00ebr t\u00eb shmangur paraprakisht gabime t\u00eb ngjashme. Duke qen\u00eb se Gjermania \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb e varur nga Kina, n\u00ebse do t\u00eb ndodhte nj\u00eb kriz\u00eb e ngjashme, \u00ebsht\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb q\u00eb Gjermania ose e gjith\u00eb Evropa do t\u00eb mund t\u00eb ringritej nga ndikimet e nj\u00eb krize t\u00eb till\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb afatshkurt\u00ebr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prandaj, udh\u00ebtimet n\u00eb Azi t\u00eb politikan\u00ebve gjerman\u00eb mund t\u00eb shihen si nj\u00eb qasje ndaj strategjis\u00eb racionale t\u00eb politik\u00ebs s\u00eb jashtme. Megjithat\u00eb, duhet theksuar gjithashtu se Gjermania nuk veproi sipas parimit t\u00eb “realpolitik\u00ebs” n\u00eb lidhje me menaxhimin e kriz\u00ebs n\u00eb luft\u00ebn Rusi-Ukrain\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Gjermania p\u00ebrpiqet t\u00eb rikthej\u00eb reputacionin e saj<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebr t’u habitur, se me luft\u00ebn n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb dhe r\u00ebnien q\u00eb rezultoi n\u00eb performanc\u00ebn e saj ekonomike, u d\u00ebmtua edhe reputacioni i Gjermanis\u00eb. Gjermania ishte dhe vazhdon t\u00eb jet\u00eb ende n\u00eb nj\u00eb pozicion udh\u00ebheq\u00ebs n\u00eb Bashkimin Evropian (BE). P\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb vendndodhjes s\u00eb saj gjeografike, ajo nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb vet\u00ebm qendra ekonomike, por edhe politike e Evrop\u00ebs. Mbi t\u00eb gjitha, pozicioni i saj gjeografik sjell me vete avantazhet t\u00eb cilat i mund\u00ebsojn\u00eb t\u00eb luaj nj\u00eb rol n\u00eb ekonomi si nj\u00eb shtet tregtar midis Evrop\u00ebs Per\u00ebndimore dhe Lindore. Megjithat\u00eb, kjo bart\u00eb edhe disa rreziqe politike, si\u00e7 tregoi kriza e refugjat\u00ebve n\u00eb vitin 2015 dhe tani lufta n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gjermania u p\u00ebrball me disa kriza, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb epok\u00ebn e Merkelit, si kriza e euros, Brexit dhe kriza e lartp\u00ebrmendur e refugjat\u00ebve. Po ashtu edhe aneksimi i Krimes\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2014 dhe trazirat e lidhura me t\u00eb n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb pat\u00ebn ndikim pak negativ n\u00eb marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet e saj me Rusin\u00eb. P\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb k\u00ebtij menaxhimi t\u00eb suksessh\u00ebm t\u00eb kriz\u00ebs, jo vet\u00ebm vendet an\u00ebtare evropiane, por edhe shtetet e tjera bot\u00ebrore kan\u00eb pasur pritshm\u00ebri mjaft t\u00eb m\u00ebdha nga Gjermania k\u00ebsaj here. Megjithat\u00eb, Gjermania nuk veproi me nj\u00eb sovranitet n\u00ebn drejtimin e Scholz-it si\u00e7 veproi n\u00eb periudhat e Merkelit dhe Schroder-it. Si rezultat, u d\u00ebmtua reputacioni i vendit si lider n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb. Gjermania gjithashtu hoqi dor\u00eb nga ambiciet e saj q\u00eb t\u00eb b\u00ebhet nj\u00eb lojtar me ndikim n\u00eb aren\u00ebn nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

–\u00a0Sfida e “reputacionit” t\u00eb Scholz-it n\u00eb politik\u00ebn e brendshme<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jo vet\u00ebm Gjermania, por edhe vet\u00eb kancelari Scholz d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb rikthej\u00eb reputacionin e tij. Scholz \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00ebn presion jo vet\u00ebm nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar, por edhe brenda vendit. N\u00eb sondazhet javore, popullariteti i partis\u00eb s\u00eb tij socialdemokrate po bie n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb vazhdueshme. Kjo kryesisht \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb performanc\u00ebs jo t\u00eb q\u00ebndrueshme ekonomike t\u00eb sip\u00ebrp\u00ebrmendur dhe rritjes s\u00eb \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb energjis\u00eb, t\u00eb cilat t\u00eb dyja kan\u00eb nj\u00eb ndikim t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt negativ n\u00eb mir\u00ebqenien e popullsis\u00eb gjermane. Opozita, CDU\/CSU, \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb ngritje n\u00ebn drejtimin e Friedrich Merz-it dhe mund t\u00eb z\u00ebvend\u00ebsoj\u00eb SPD-n\u00eb si parti udh\u00ebheq\u00ebse n\u00eb nj\u00eb qeveri koalicioni n\u00eb zgjedhjet e ardhshme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tensionet mund t\u00eb shihen edhe brenda qeveris\u00eb s\u00eb koalicionit, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht mes SPD-s\u00eb dhe t\u00eb Gjelb\u00ebrve. N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb pik\u00eb, duhet theksuar se mendimet e kund\u00ebrta brenda t\u00eb Gjelb\u00ebrve komplikojn\u00eb situat\u00ebn e p\u00ebrgjithshme brenda qeveris\u00eb s\u00eb koalicionit. Ministrja e Jashtme Annalena Baerbock dhe Robert Habeck tani shihen si rival\u00eb brenda t\u00eb Gjelb\u00ebrve. Nd\u00ebrsa Baerbock p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebson vlera morale si liria e mendimit dhe t\u00eb drejtat e njeriut n\u00eb politik\u00ebn nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare, Habeck p\u00ebrpiqet t\u00eb ringjall\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb gjermane p\u00ebrmes politikave racionale. P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye, Scholz ka nj\u00eb q\u00ebndrim t\u00eb ngjash\u00ebm me Habeck, prandaj udh\u00ebtimi i p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt n\u00eb Azi nga dy politikan\u00ebt kryesor\u00eb gjerman\u00eb nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb rast\u00ebsi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00ebrmes udh\u00ebtimit n\u00eb Azi, Scholz d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb tregoj\u00eb ambiciet e tij si lider n\u00eb aren\u00ebn nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare. Ndryshimi i politik\u00ebs gjermane ndaj Kin\u00ebs dhe thellimi i marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnieve me shtetet e ASEAN-it \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb ndryshim rr\u00ebnj\u00ebsor jo vet\u00ebm n\u00eb politik\u00ebn e jashtme gjermane ndaj Kin\u00ebs, por edhe n\u00eb aren\u00ebn nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare n\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsi. K\u00ebshtu, Scholz do t’i jepte politik\u00ebs s\u00eb jashtme gjermane nj\u00eb vul\u00eb t\u00eb re, “sholziane”. Megjithat\u00eb, mbetet q\u00eb t\u00eb shihet se sa e suksesshme do t\u00eb jet\u00eb kjo strategji. Kualitetet udh\u00ebheq\u00ebse t\u00eb Scholz sigurisht q\u00eb nuk do t\u00eb maten vet\u00ebm me suksesin e politik\u00ebs s\u00eb tij t\u00eb jashtme t\u00eb orientuara kah Azia, por gjithashtu nj\u00eb rol t\u00eb madh do t\u00eb luaj edhe stabiliteti i Evrop\u00ebs n\u00eb fund. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Anadolu Agency <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nga Yunus Mazi – Autori i shkrimit \u00ebsht\u00eb kandidat i Ph.D-s\u00eb n\u00eb Universitetin e Teknologjis\u00eb Chemnitz, Instituti i Shkencave Politike N\u00eb udh\u00ebtimin e tij kat\u00ebr-ditor n\u00eb Azi, kancelari gjerman Olaf…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":29263,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39286","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinionanaliza"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39286"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=39286"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39286\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39287,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39286\/revisions\/39287"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/29263"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=39286"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=39286"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=39286"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}