{"id":40703,"date":"2023-12-20T18:27:33","date_gmt":"2023-12-20T17:27:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/shekulliagency.com\/?p=40703"},"modified":"2023-12-20T18:27:35","modified_gmt":"2023-12-20T17:27:35","slug":"koalicioni-i-detit-te-kuq-pse-vendet-kryesore-arabe-nuk-participojne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/?p=40703","title":{"rendered":"Koalicioni i Detit t\u00eb Kuq: Pse vendet kryesore arabe nuk participojn\u00eb?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Pas njoftimit t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb p\u00ebr koalicionin prej 10 vendesh kund\u00ebr sulmeve t\u00eb grupit Huthi n\u00eb Detin e Kuq, analist\u00ebt kan\u00eb nxjerr n\u00eb pah munges\u00ebn e dukshme t\u00eb vendeve arabe n\u00eb forcat e koalicionit, duke sugjeruar p\u00ebr nj\u00eb hezitim nga ana e vendeve arabe q\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshihen n\u00eb nj\u00eb konfrontim t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb me rebel\u00ebt jemenas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pjes\u00eb e forcave shum\u00ebkomb\u00ebshe patrulluese, t\u00eb udh\u00ebhequra nga SHBA, jan\u00eb edhe Mbret\u00ebria e Bashkuar, Kanada, Franca, Italia, Holanda, Norvegjia, Spanja dhe Sejshelli, s\u00eb bashku me Bahrejnin, shtetin e vet\u00ebm t\u00eb Gjirit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Q\u00ebllimi i k\u00ebtij koalicioni \u00ebsht\u00eb t\u00eb pengoj\u00eb Huthi-t, t\u00eb cil\u00ebt kan\u00eb goditur anijet e transportit me raketa dhe dron\u00eb n\u00eb vazhd\u00ebn e luft\u00ebs s\u00eb Izraelit n\u00eb Rripin e Gaz\u00ebs, gj\u00eb q\u00eb ka detyruar linjat kryesore t\u00eb anijeve t\u00eb pezullojn\u00eb l\u00ebvizjet ose t\u00eb ndryshojn\u00eb kursin e d\u00ebrgesave t\u00eb naft\u00ebs dhe karburantit nga nj\u00eb prej rrug\u00ebve detare m\u00eb t\u00eb ngarkuara n\u00eb bot\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Un\u00eb nuk mendoj se shtetet arabe jan\u00eb aq t\u00eb etura q\u00eb t\u00eb hyn\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb luft\u00eb me Huthi-t, ndoshta sa vendet per\u00ebndimore”, tha Joost Hiltermann p\u00ebr Anadolu, drejtor i programit MENA n\u00eb Grupin Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar t\u00eb Krizave.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ai tha se shtetet per\u00ebndimore gjithashtu do t\u00eb preferonin t\u00eb “formonin nj\u00eb forc\u00eb parandaluese” se sa t\u00eb angazhohen n\u00eb konflikt t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sa i p\u00ebrket Arabis\u00eb Saudite, tha ia, mbret\u00ebria “nuk ka interes” t\u00eb hyj\u00eb n\u00eb koalicion pasi ajo “po k\u00ebrkon t\u00eb dal nga lufta n\u00eb Jemen, jo t\u00eb zhytet m\u00eb thell\u00eb n\u00eb t\u00eb”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Arabia Saudite “\u00ebsht\u00eb e p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb thell\u00eb n\u00eb negociata me Huthi-t”, k\u00ebshtu q\u00eb bashkimi me “nj\u00eb koalicion t\u00eb till\u00eb do t\u00eb n\u00ebnkuptonte prishje t\u00eb k\u00ebtyre bisedimeve”, tha ai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsi, shtetet arabe jan\u00eb “kryesisht n\u00eb rregull” me vendet per\u00ebndimore q\u00eb e marrin k\u00ebt\u00eb rol, “sepse ata kan\u00eb interes t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt n\u00eb l\u00ebvizjen e lir\u00eb t\u00eb qarkullimit tregtar”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ibrahim Jalal, studiues jorezident n\u00eb Institutin e Lindjes s\u00eb Mesme, beson se ka arsye t\u00eb shumta q\u00eb Arabia Saudite dhe EBA q\u00ebndrojn\u00eb jasht\u00eb forcave t\u00eb koalicionit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u00eb pari, ka \u201cpak\u00ebnaq\u00ebsi t\u00eb madhe me SHBA-n\u00eb\u201d dhe ka nj\u00eb \u201ckriz\u00eb besimi midis partner\u00ebve strategjik\u00eb\u201d, tha ai. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

E dyta, sipas Jalal, \u00ebsht\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimi i Huthi-ve p\u00ebr rifillimin e sulmeve nd\u00ebrkufitare, k\u00ebshtu q\u00eb Arabia Saudite dhe EBA “kan\u00eb prioritetet e tyre komb\u00ebtare q\u00eb nuk p\u00ebrshtaten domosdoshm\u00ebrisht me q\u00ebndrimin amerikan”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Faktori i tret\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb se asnj\u00eb vend nuk d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb shihet se vepron “n\u00eb mbrojtje t\u00eb Izraelit”, tha ai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“S\u00eb fundmi, \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb n\u00eb t\u00eb cil\u00ebn k\u00ebto vende p\u00ebrpiqen t\u00eb riafirmojn\u00eb nj\u00eb shkall\u00eb pavar\u00ebsie n\u00eb politik\u00ebb\u00ebrjen e tyre t\u00eb jashtme dhe t\u00eb mbrojtjes, p\u00ebr t’i komunikuar SHBA-s\u00eb, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht, se ato nuk jan\u00eb t\u00eb interesuara p\u00ebr reagime, por n\u00eb vend t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj n\u00eb nj\u00eb angazhim strategjik dhe t\u00eb llogaritur n\u00eb rajon n\u00eb prapavij\u00eb t\u00eb forcimit apo agresionit t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb n\u00eb rajon\u201d, tha Jalal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Megjithat\u00eb, ai shtoi se vlen t\u00eb p\u00ebrmendet se Arabia Saudite mbetet pjes\u00eb e Forcave t\u00eb Kombinuara Detare, nj\u00eb partneritet shum\u00ebkomb\u00ebsh detar prej 38 an\u00ebtar\u00ebsh i udh\u00ebhequr nga SHBA, nga i cili EBA u t\u00ebrhoq\u00ebn n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb majit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jalal formimin e koalicionit t\u00eb ri e sheh si “pranim t\u00eb d\u00ebshtimit n\u00eb menaxhimin e konfliktit”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00ebr t\u00eb, duket si nj\u00eb mas\u00eb “kozmetike” dhe “jo nj\u00eb zgjidhje strategjike”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Mendoj se kemi pasur nj\u00eb d\u00ebshtim t\u00eb madh n\u00eb arkitektur\u00ebn e siguris\u00eb n\u00eb rajon dhe ky \u00ebsht\u00eb vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb reflektim i atij d\u00ebshtimi, qoft\u00eb n\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00ebn ajrore apo at\u00eb detare”, tha ai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jalal theksoi nevoj\u00ebn p\u00ebr nj\u00eb qasje bashk\u00ebpunuese q\u00eb del nga rajoni, n\u00eb vend q\u00eb “thjesht t\u00eb krijohen koalicione t\u00eb m\u00ebdha nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare”. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAt\u00ebher\u00eb, bashk\u00ebpunimi i siguris\u00eb mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb m\u00eb strategjik n\u00eb aspektin e mb\u00ebshtetjes, n\u00eb aspektin e mobilizimit, n\u00eb drejtim t\u00eb koordinimit n\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetje t\u00eb liris\u00eb s\u00eb lundrimit\u201d, tha ai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sipas Hiltermann-it, Shtetet e Bashkuara dhe vendet per\u00ebndimore jan\u00eb “thell\u00ebsisht t\u00eb shqet\u00ebsuara p\u00ebr rrjedh\u00ebn e naft\u00ebs dhe transportin e p\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm p\u00ebrmes Detit t\u00eb Kuq dhe ngushtic\u00ebs Bab el-Mandeb n\u00eb ve\u00e7anti”, duke iu referuar vendkalimit t\u00eb ngusht\u00eb n\u00eb maj\u00ebn e saj jugore, ku Huthi-t kan\u00eb sulmuar disa anije q\u00eb ishin nisur p\u00ebr n\u00eb Izrael.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cMotivi ishte qartazi p\u00ebr t\u00eb frenuar Huthi-t dhe p\u00ebr t’i parandaluar ata q\u00eb t\u00eb q\u00ebllonin anijet tregtare, duke pasur parasysh se Deti i Kuq \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb rrug\u00eb detare jetike p\u00ebr transportin e naft\u00ebs, por edhe t\u00eb mallrave n\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsi\u201d, tha ai, duke shtuar: “Pra, pyetja e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00ebse kjo mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb efektive, e q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e pamundur t\u00eb thuhet”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Megjithat\u00eb, ai beson se \u00ebsht\u00eb “sigurisht nj\u00eb penges\u00eb, sepse n\u00ebse Huthi-t vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb q\u00ebllojn\u00eb anijet tregtare, at\u00ebher\u00eb fuqia e zjarrit nga k\u00ebto anije per\u00ebndimore mund t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb nj\u00eb ndryshim”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Ndikimi ekonomik<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Deti i Kuq \u00ebsht\u00eb i lidhur me Mesdheun me an\u00eb t\u00eb Kanalit t\u00eb Suezit, duke krijuar rrug\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb shkurt\u00ebr t\u00eb transportit midis Evrop\u00ebs dhe Azis\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dit\u00ebt e fundit, kompanit\u00eb kryesore t\u00eb anijeve kan\u00eb braktisur rrug\u00ebn, duke zgjedhur rrug\u00ebn shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb gjat\u00eb rreth Afrik\u00ebs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hiltermann tha se situata po ndikon n\u00eb tregjet globale, k\u00ebshtu q\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha vendet, jo vet\u00ebm SHBA, kan\u00eb interes p\u00ebr ta zgjidhur problemin “q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb ajo q\u00eb po motivon themelimin e nj\u00eb koalicioni p\u00ebr t’iu kund\u00ebrv\u00ebn\u00eb sulmeve t\u00eb Huthi-ve”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lidhur me implikimet ekonomike, ai tha se kompanit\u00eb e sigurimeve, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht t\u00eb transportit tregtar, po rrisin tarifat e tyre, gj\u00eb q\u00eb po rrit kostot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cDo t\u00eb ket\u00eb vonesa, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00ebse anijet vendosin se nuk ia vlen rreziku dhe kostoja p\u00ebr ta, dhe ata do t\u00eb shmangin Detin e Kuq, q\u00eb do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se do t\u00eb duhet t\u00eb shkojn\u00eb rreth kontinentit afrikan, gj\u00eb q\u00eb do t\u00eb \u00e7oj\u00eb n\u00eb vonesa t\u00eb d\u00ebrgimit t\u00eb mallrave\u201d, tha ai, duke shtuar: “Pra, n\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsi, kjo do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se kostot do t\u00eb rriten p\u00ebr konsumator\u00ebt, nd\u00ebrsa ne po flasim n\u00eb aspektin global”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jalal theksoi se ndikimet ekonomike jan\u00eb t\u00eb dukshme n\u00eb zinxhirin global t\u00eb furnizimit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cPara s\u00eb gjithash, \u00ebsht\u00eb e paprecedent\u00eb t\u00eb shoh\u00ebsh nj\u00eb aktor joshtet\u00ebror t\u00eb paraqes\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnime kaq t\u00eb m\u00ebdha p\u00ebr anijet tregtare, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb edhe ato q\u00eb nuk jan\u00eb domosdoshm\u00ebrisht t\u00eb lidhura ose t\u00eb destinuara p\u00ebr Izraelin\u201d, tha ai, duke shtuar: \u201cKemi par\u00eb nj\u00eb anije norvegjeze me nj\u00eb ngarkes\u00eb q\u00eb ishte nisur diku. Pra, kjo padyshim nxjerr n\u00eb pah nivelin e pasiguris\u00eb dhe munges\u00ebs s\u00eb siguris\u00eb p\u00ebr trafikun tregtar n\u00eb Detin e Kuq, si dhe ngarkesat n\u00eb bord\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ai tha se kjo ka rezultuar n\u00eb rritje t\u00eb kostos s\u00eb sigurimeve dhe m\u00eb shum\u00eb sigurime premium, duke rritur kostot e transportit, nd\u00ebrsa disa kompani po p\u00ebrmbahen nga v\u00ebnia n\u00eb dispozicion e sigurimeve duke pasur parasysh rritjen e nivelit t\u00eb rrezikut, duke \u00e7uar n\u00eb nj\u00eb reduktim t\u00eb operator\u00ebve. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Vet\u00ebm gjat\u00eb pes\u00eb dit\u00ebve t\u00eb fundit, t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn shtat\u00eb kompani t\u00eb m\u00ebdha t\u00eb transportit detar pezulluan operacionet e tyre n\u00eb prapavij\u00ebn e k\u00ebtyre aktiviteteve”, tha Jalal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Lufta e Gaz\u00ebs<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb lidhje me luft\u00ebn e vazhdueshme t\u00eb Izraelit n\u00eb Gaza, Hiltermann tha se situata n\u00eb Detin e Kuq \u00ebsht\u00eb e lidhur me kriz\u00ebn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Un\u00eb mendoj se lufta n\u00eb Gaza do t\u00eb ket\u00eb ndikim n\u00eb situat\u00ebn n\u00eb Detin e Kuq, sepse Huthi-t e kan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb qart\u00eb se sapo Izraeli t\u00eb ndaloj\u00eb ofensiv\u00ebn e tij n\u00eb Gaza, at\u00ebher\u00eb ata gjithashtu do t\u00eb ndalojn\u00eb sulmet ndaj anijeve tregtare”, tha ai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ai tha se shanset e p\u00ebrhapjes rajonale “kan\u00eb qen\u00eb t\u00eb dukshme q\u00eb nga 7 tetori dhe ato ekzistojn\u00eb ende sot, ndoshta duke u b\u00ebr\u00eb m\u00eb serioze”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sulmet e Huthi-ve ndaj anijeve n\u00eb Gjirin Persik jan\u00eb vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb shembull i p\u00ebrhapjes rajonale, tha eksperti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ai paralajm\u00ebroi se rreziku i nj\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimi n\u00eb Detin e Kuq \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb i pranish\u00ebm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Kjo mund t\u00eb \u00e7oj\u00eb deri n\u00eb nj\u00eb luft\u00eb me arm\u00eb zjarri midis vendeve t\u00eb mbledhura dhe forcave t\u00eb tyre ushtarake nga nj\u00ebra an\u00eb dhe Huthi-ve nga ana tjet\u00ebr”, tha Hiltermann.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lidhur me rrezikun e p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimit, Jalal tha se ka “perspektiva t\u00eb ndryshme” p\u00ebr situat\u00ebn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nj\u00ebra \u00ebsht\u00eb situata n\u00eb Gaza dhe mizorit\u00eb humanitare, tha ai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

E dyta \u00ebsht\u00eb se Huthi-t “kan\u00eb dal\u00eb si nj\u00eb fuqi detare pavar\u00ebsisht kapaciteteve dhe aft\u00ebsive t\u00eb tyre t\u00eb kufizuara, n\u00eb nj\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb forcuar pozicionin e tyre p\u00ebrpara nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshjeje paqeje”, tha ai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cE treta \u00ebsht\u00eb, padyshim, p\u00ebrpjekja p\u00ebr t\u00eb folur p\u00ebr ndjenjat si n\u00eb bot\u00ebn arabe ashtu edhe n\u00eb at\u00eb islame, e cila n\u00eb fakt ka marr\u00eb jehon\u00eb dhe \u00ebsht\u00eb pranuar pozitivisht, pavar\u00ebsisht n\u00ebse ata e din\u00eb se kush \u00ebsht\u00eb kryengrit\u00ebsi apo grupi rebel\u201d, tha Jalal, duke shtuar:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAjo q\u00eb mund t\u00eb presim \u00ebsht\u00eb vazhdimi i bisedimeve, por n\u00ebse nuk b\u00ebhen ose plot\u00ebsohen k\u00ebrkesat, at\u00ebher\u00eb mund t\u00eb shohim nj\u00eb lloj fokusi m\u00eb t\u00eb bashk\u00ebrenduar q\u00eb sh\u00ebnjestron anijet q\u00eb mb\u00ebshtesin regjimin okupues izraelit n\u00eb \u00e7far\u00ebdo m\u00ebnyre\u201d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pas njoftimit t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb p\u00ebr koalicionin prej 10 vendesh kund\u00ebr sulmeve t\u00eb grupit Huthi n\u00eb Detin e Kuq, analist\u00ebt kan\u00eb nxjerr n\u00eb pah munges\u00ebn e dukshme t\u00eb vendeve arabe n\u00eb…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":40704,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-40703","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinionanaliza"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40703"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=40703"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40703\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40705,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40703\/revisions\/40705"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/40704"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=40703"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=40703"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alb.shekulliagency.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=40703"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}